摘自華爾街日報的《What Does Nevada’s $35 Billion Fund Manager Do All Day? Nothing》,2016 年 10 月:
史蒂夫·埃德蒙森沒有同事,很少參加會議,經常在辦公桌上吃剩菜。在這個充滿活力的工作日,內華達州公共僱員退休系統的投資負責人的收入超過了擁有數百名員工的退休基金。
他的日常交易策略是:盡量少做,通常什麼都不做。
內華達系統的股票和債券都是模仿指數的低成本基金。埃德蒙森可能每年對投資組合進行一次更改。
新聞並不重要。
2016年大選會影響他的投資組合嗎? “不。”
石油價格? “不。”
他追隨聯準會主席珍妮特·耶倫,但「觀察和行動是有區別的」。
44 歲的埃德蒙森直到最近才成為退休金領域的異類。其他國家退休制度轉向複雜的投資和成本高昂的基金經理,試圖透過演算法和智慧跑贏大盤。
他說,他的策略是保持低成本,而不是試圖打敗市場。 “我們只剩下骨頭了。”
他簡陋的辦公桌上有一個收件匣、一個訂書機和一個裝著迴紋針和名片的錫杯。他轉椅後面的桌子上擺著他的印表機和家庭照片。他沒有專用的彭博終端,也不看 CNBC。
他用特百惠帶來午餐。 「美好的日子,」他說,就是他妻子做午餐的時候——生菜三明治或鮪魚三明治。否則,就是剩下的魚或沙拉。 “我不想每天花 10 美元吃午餐。”
埃德蒙森在他位於卡森城的一層辦公大樓中指揮著一些基金,這些基金截至6 月30 日的一年、三年、五年和十年期間的回報率超過了全國最大的公共退休金-加州公共僱員退休系統或 Calpers,以及許多其他州的人員密集的計劃。
Calpers 發言人梅根懷特 (Megan White) 指出,內華達州 350 億美元的計劃比加州大約 3000 億美元的計劃「小得多」。 “話雖如此,內華達州展示了降低投資組合複雜性、風險和成本的好處。”
「什麼都不做比看起來更難,」艾德蒙森的前任、唯一的外部投資策略顧問肯·蘭伯特說。他說,更難的是因為練習無所作為需要克制。
現在,許多公共退休基金正在接受內華達州的無所作為的做法,因為它們正在與現金減少和低利率作鬥爭。 Calpers 正在與大約一半處理其資金的公司斷絕關係。紐約市今年大幅削減了對沖基金的承諾。
產業顧問表示,美國公共退休金中約有一半的傳統股票投資於低成本指數基金,這一數字是十年前的兩倍多。
退休金投資諮詢公司 Meketa Investment Group 聯合首席執行官 Stephen McCourt 表示:“退休金領域肯定正在向內華達州遷移。”
夏威夷退休金首席投資官、埃德蒙森的朋友維喬伊·保羅·查特吉 (Vijoy Paul Chattergy) 表示,它並沒有一路遷移。
查特吉說:「如果我能坐在毛伊島的海灘上,每天打電話,我就會這麼做。」他的計畫採用了多種策略,但回報率落後於內華達州。 「但我不認為世界就是這樣運作的。這就是我們採取這種方法的原因。
甚至連埃德蒙森也忍不住研究投資策略。 “我花了很多時間研究我們最終不會做的事情。”
不過,在市場波動的日子裡,他可以準時回家放鬆。英國人於 6 月投票決定離開歐盟,導致全球市場陷入動盪,之後他按照慣例於 5:00 離開。英國脫歐當晚,他正正常時間入睡。
他說,股市下跌幾個百分點“甚至不會讓我的心率加快。”
埃德蒙森在內華達大學裡諾分校撰寫有關貨幣政策的研究生論文時接觸了金融。
他將自己的哲學追溯到他在蒙大拿州博茲曼的一家葡萄酒經銷商工作中學到的東西。他推銷最暢銷的葡萄酒時沒有強調葡萄的起源或品酒筆記。
「葡萄酒行業往往被描述為一個複雜而困難的行業,並使用花哨的術語,」他說。 「在投資方面,確實很相似。你可以專注於小細節而不是大局。
當埃德蒙森在 2005 年以分析師身份加入內華達計畫時,該計畫大約 60% 的股票屬於指數。 2012年成為首席投資官後,他的投資變得更加被動。
根據內華達州計畫文件和追蹤退休計畫支出的 Callan Associates 的數據,其外部管理費用約為平均公共退休金的七分之一。
如果內華達州採用典型的華爾街飲食方式,每年將支付約 1.2 億美元的費用。 2016年,內華達州支付了1,800萬美元。
儘管埃德蒙森避開了華爾街的幫助,但他還是回覆了基金經理人向他推銷產品的電子郵件和電話。
典型的通話持續約五分鐘。他溫和地讓來電者失望,透過得出結論認為該產品不合適並感謝他們提供的資訊來轉移預付款。
「我變得非常善於說不,」他說。 “我不會試圖引導他們,這樣他們就不會抱持虛假的希望。”
埃德蒙森大部分時間都花在準備董事會會議材料和處理行政任務。儘管投資取得了成功,內華達州僅擁有約 73% 的資產來為工人未來的退休義務提供資金。
最近的一天,他開始了一場關於利率風險的 PowerPoint 演示,並與內華達州退休金官員討論了投資目標,然後開始吃剩下的布卡蒂尼意大利麵,配上培根沙拉。
他喝著「DAD」馬克杯裡的咖啡,這是他與大樓裡其他員工共同資助的辦公室壺裡的第四杯咖啡。
他一般不在上午 8 點到下午 5 點以外的時間工作。他乘坐 2005 年本田 Element 上下班,行駛里程超過 175,000 英里。根據內華達州政策研究所的資料庫,他 2015 年的薪水為 127,121.75 美元。
由於埃德蒙森的投資團隊中沒有其他人,他很少使用他的會議桌和四把額外的椅子。他自願將自己的辦公室提供給從事會計或福利計算工作的退休基金員工。
上個月,一堵牆隔開了房間。 「我不會抱怨我的辦公室,」他說。 “它太大了。”
故事結束。
原文(What Does Nevada’s $35 Billion Fund Manager Do All Day? Nothing)
Steve Edmundson has no co-workers, rarely takes meetings and often eats leftovers at his desk. With that dynamic workday, the investment chief for the Nevada Public Employees’ Retirement System is out-earning pension funds that have hundreds on staff.
His daily trading strategy: Do as little as possible, usually nothing.
The Nevada system’s stocks and bonds are all in low-cost funds that mimic indexes. Edmundson may make one change to the portfolio a year.
News doesn’t matter much.
Will the 2016 elections affect his portfolio? “No.”
Oil prices? “No.”
He follows Fed chairwoman Janet Yellen, but “there’s a difference between watching and acting.”
Edmundson, 44 years old, has until recently been a pension-world outlier. Other state retirement systems turned to complicated investments and costly money managers to try to outperform markets with algorithms and smarts.
His strategy is to keep costs low and not try beating markets, he says. “We’re bare bones.”
On his bare-bones desk is an inbox, a stapler and a tin cup of paper clips and business cards. A desk behind his swivel chair sports his printer and family photos. He has no dedicated Bloomberg terminal and doesn’t watch CNBC.
He brings lunch in Tupperware. “Great days,” he says, are when his wife makes lunch — a BLT or tuna-fish sandwich. Otherwise, it is leftover fish or salads. “I don’t want to spend $10 a day for lunch.”
From his one-story office building in Carson City, Edmundson commands funds whose returns over one-year, three-year, five-year and 10-year periods ending June 30 bested the nation’s largest public pension, the California Public Employees’ Retirement System, or Calpers, and deeply-staffed plans of many other states.
Nevada’s $35 billion plan is “dramatically smaller” than California’s roughly $300 billion, notes Calpers spokeswoman Megan White. “That said, Nevada demonstrates the benefits of reducing the complexity, risk, and costs in a portfolio.”
“Doing nothing is harder than it looks,” says Ken Lambert, Edmundson’s predecessor and only outside investment-strategy consultant. Harder, he says, because of the restraint needed to practice inaction.
Now many public pension funds are embracing Nevada’s do-nothing approach as they wrestle with dwindling cash and low interest rates. Calpers is severing ties with roughly half the firms handling its money. New York City this year slashed its hedge-fund commitments.
US public pensions have about half their traditional stocks in low-cost index funds, industry consultants say, more than double a decade ago.
“The pension world,” says Stephen McCourt, co-CEO at pension-investments consultant Meketa Investment Group, “is definitely migrating toward Nevada.”
It isn’t migrating all the way, says Vijoy Paul Chattergy, the Hawaii pension’s chief investment officer and a friend of Edmundson’s.
“If I could sit on the beach in Maui and phone it in every day, I’d do it,” says Chattergy, whose plan, which trails Nevada’s in returns, uses a variety of strategies. “But I don’t think that’s the way the world works. That’s why we have the approach we do.”
Even Edmundson can’t resist studying investment strategies. “I spend a lot of time researching things we ultimately don’t do.”
On volatile market days, though, he gets to go home on time and chill out. After Britons in June voted to leave the European Union, throwing global markets into upheaval, he left at his usual 5:00. He fell asleep at his normal time that Brexit night.
A stock-market drop of several percentage points, he says, “isn’t even going to get my heart rate up.”
Edmundson got exposed to finance writing graduate-school papers about monetary policy at the University of Nevada, Reno.
He traces his philosophy to what he learned working for a Bozeman, Montana, wine distributor. He marketed the best-selling wines without highlighting the grapes’ origins or tasting notes.
“The wine industry tends to be portrayed as something complicated and difficult with fancy terminology,” he says. “On the investment side, it’s really similar. You can focus on the small details rather than the big picture.”
When Edmundson joined the Nevada plan in 2005 as an analyst, roughly 60% of its stocks were in indexes. He turned it even more passive after becoming chief investment officer in 2012. He fired 10 external managers, and, by 2015, all of its stock and bondholdings were in passively managed funds.
Its outside-management bill is about one-seventh the average public pension’s, according to Nevada plan documents and Callan Associates, which tracks retirement-plan expenses.
If Nevada consumed a typical Wall Street diet, it would pay roughly $120 million in annual fees. In 2016, Nevada paid $18 million.
Despite shunning Wall Street help, Edmundson returns emails and calls from money managers pitching him products.
The typical call lasts about five minutes. He lets callers down gently, deflecting advances by concluding the offering isn’t a good fit and thanking them for the information.
“I’ve become very good at saying no,” he says. “I don’t try to lead them on, so they don’t get false hope.”
Edmundson spends much of his days preparing board-meeting materials and on administrative tasks. Despite the investment success, Nevada only has about 73% of assets needed to fund future retirement obligations to workers.
One recent day, he started a PowerPoint presentation on interest-rate risk and discussed investment targets with Nevada pension officials before breaking for leftover bucatini pasta with bacon atop a salad.
He sipped coffee from his “DAD” mug, the day’s fourth cup from the office pot he co-funds with other workers in the building.
He generally doesn’t work outside 8am to 5pm hours. He commutes in a 2005 Honda Element with over 175,000 miles on it. His 2015 salary was $127,121.75, according to a Nevada Policy Research Institute database.
With no one else on his investment staff, Edmundson rarely uses his conference table and four extra chairs. He volunteered his office to pension-fund employees who work for accounting or benefit calculations.
Last month, a wall went up dividing the room. “I’m not going to complain about my office,” he says. “It was too big.”
End of story.
作為投資者,對我們來說最重要的教訓是:
- 維持營運效率,並降低低成本帶來更好的回報:維持較低的營運成本並避免投資過程中不必要的複雜性有助於提高整體績效。如果您不知道如何以有吸引力的價格購買優秀企業的股票,那麼使用低成本指數基金和最小化管理費的無為系統可以顯著減少開支,從而提高淨回報。
- 簡單勝過複雜:保持投資方法簡單並避免複雜、高成本策略的策略勝過更複雜和昂貴的方法。
- 無所作為的力量也很強大:無所作為的方法強調了投資中耐心和克制的價值。頻繁的交易和對市場消息的反應往往弊大於利。
- 著眼於長期:不要讓選舉或市場波動等短期事件影響您的策略。這種長期關注有助於在市場波動中保持穩定。
- 盡量減少情緒反應:市場動盪期間保持冷靜的舉止說明了不要讓情緒左右投資決策的重要性。
透過堅持這些原則,埃德蒙森證明,與更傳統的主動管理方法相比,簡單的、無所事事的投資策略也可以取得很好的成果。
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